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How Many Points Do We Need to Make the Playoffs?


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#1 yse325

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Posted 21 January 2013 - 12:29 AM

I was looking at the standings from 1994-5, the last time we played a 48 game schedule, and the Sabres 7th in the East with 51 pts. With 3pt games now, I think it will take more points this time to grab a playoff spot. I'm thinking 55 pts will likely make the cut. That would be a record of 25-18-5.

Thoughts?
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#2 schooner44

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Posted 21 January 2013 - 01:54 AM

From a purely mathematical standpoint, we play 58.5% of the games so take however points normally will get you in and multiply it by .585. The average point for 8th place over the last 3 years is 91 so that would come out to 53 points.

#3 albanysabresfan

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Posted 21 January 2013 - 09:27 AM

50-55 point range to get into the east.

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#4 thesabredance

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Posted 21 January 2013 - 09:40 AM

In general, for the last number of years 92 points has almost always guaranteed you a playoff spot. Some years teams have gotten in with less if the conference was weak but 92 usually gets you in for sure.

So that's 10 games over .500.

In a 48 game season which is slightly more than half the games you would figure that slightly more than 5 games over .500 or 53 points should do the trick.

Of course, 60 points would be great!

With every game being a 4 point game and with a condensed season, a three game winning strike is virtually identical to a six game winning streak during a normal season.

#5 albanysabresfan

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Posted 21 January 2013 - 10:15 AM

50 points should do it I would think.

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#6 yse325

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Posted 21 January 2013 - 03:25 PM

Who many to win the division or the conference?
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#7 MAReinhardt

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Posted 22 January 2013 - 10:41 AM

60-65 pts based on the math.

#8 BTbird2

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Posted 22 January 2013 - 10:49 AM

60-65 pts based on the math.

Based on the math Schooner already put the equation above. We play 58.5% of the games so you need 58.5% of 91-93 points which would put you in the 53-54 point range (depending if you think it is 91, 92 or 93 points to get in). 58.5366% * 91 points means you need 53.26829 points.

Based on the same math, 91 points in 82 games means you get 1.109756 points per game. 1.109756 * 48 games gives you the exact same result of 53.26829 points (or 53-54 if you think it is 92 or 93 points to get in).

It's pretty basic here.
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#9 MAReinhardt

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Posted 22 January 2013 - 11:03 AM

I was answering the "how many points to win the division or conference" question...

Last year was 102 points for the division and 109 points for the conference.

Multiply by 48/82 or the ~58% number you listed.

So, 59.7 points for the division or 63.8 points for the conference. Or, about 60-65 like I said.

I agree, the math is pretty basic here. The reading, on the other hand... ;)

#10 BTbird2

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Posted 22 January 2013 - 11:07 AM

I was answering the "how many points to win the division or conference" question...

Last year was 102 points for the division and 109 points for the conference.

Multiply by 48/82 or the ~58% number you listed.

So, 59.7 points for the division or 63.8 points for the conference. Or, about 60-65 like I said.

I agree, the math is pretty basic here. The reading, on the other hand... ;)

Yeah the math is pretty basic here. The quote button, on the other hand... ;)
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#11 MAReinhardt

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Posted 22 January 2013 - 11:13 AM

Yeah the math is pretty basic here. The quote button, on the other hand... ;)

What quote button? I don't see any quote button :P

#12 BTbird2

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Posted 22 January 2013 - 11:28 AM


Yeah the math is pretty basic here. The quote button, on the other hand... ;)


What quote button? I don't see any quote button :P

WHOA! A blind squirrel can find a nut every once in awhile :P
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